2021/11/09 23:00 WF=W+Flare # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 2 12893 5 45 18 0.005 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 48! 1 12894 6 -15 -26 0.005 0.006 0.003 0.000 0.001 30! 3 12895 5 -37 26 0.004 0.005 0.002 0.000 0.001 45! Disk Forecast Rates 0.014 0.017 0.007 0.001 0.003 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.8x 2.5x 2.9x 7.7x 6.9x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 99.00% 98.00% 99.00% 99.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 1.50% 1.50% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%