2021/11/09 23:00 # AR# WL!DSG!N Lng Lat 24 Hour Event Rate Dist (kG) (deg) M&X CME FCME X SPE (deg) 2 12893 5 45 18 0.006 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 48! 1 12894 6 -15 -26 0.007 0.010 0.005 0.001 0.002 30! 3 12895 5 -37 26 0.005 0.009 0.004 0.001 0.002 45! Disk Forecast Rates 0.018 0.028 0.012 0.003 0.005 Multiplicative Uncertainties 2.8x 2.3x 2.6x 4.5x 4.0x Disk All-Clear Forecast Probabilities 98.00% 97.00% 99.00% 99.00% 99.00% Uncertainties 1.80% 2.20% 1.20% 1.00% 1.00%